V-Varen Nagasaki vs Tochigi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
13.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
V-Varen Nagasaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
VEG
2 - 3
VVA
71%
18%
11%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
GAM
2 - 1
VVA
75%
16%
8%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2020 |
FCT
0 - 1
VVA
67%
21%
12%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
KAA
3 - 2
VVA
75%
17%
8%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
ALB
2 - 1
VVA
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Tochigi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
JEF
0 - 1
TOC
60%
21%
19%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
VVA
0 - 1
TOC
72%
18%
10%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
TOC
0 - 0
OMI
15%
24%
61%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
TOC
2 - 1
ALB
22%
27%
51%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
FAG
1 - 0
TOC
63%
23%
14%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |