V-Varen Nagasaki vs Tochigi Uva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
9.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
V-Varen Nagasaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
FUJ
1 - 2
VVA
32%
26%
42%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
VVA
2 - 2
SAG
41%
26%
34%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 0
VVA
47%
27%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
VVA
4 - 0
HOY
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
VVA
2 - 0
HON
53%
25%
23%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Tochigi Uva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
HON
3 - 0
TOC
72%
18%
10%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
BLA
1 - 1
TOC
69%
18%
13%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2012 |
TOC
1 - 4
PAR
25%
25%
50%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
TOC
0 - 0
YOK
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
TOC
2 - 4
SON
35%
26%
39%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |