V-Varen Nagasaki vs Thespa Gunma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
29.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
V-Varen Nagasaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
VVA
0 - 2
KYO
29%
28%
43%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
VVA
1 - 2
KAM
51%
27%
22%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
MON
1 - 0
VVA
27%
28%
45%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2016 |
VVA
0 - 0
GIR
47%
28%
25%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
JEF
0 - 0
VVA
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Thespa Gunma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
FAG
3 - 3
THE
57%
25%
18%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
THE
0 - 3
TOK
38%
28%
34%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
THE
2 - 0
REN
33%
26%
41%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2016 |
GIF
2 - 1
THE
35%
27%
38%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
THE
0 - 4
SHI
32%
27%
42%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |