V-Varen Nagasaki vs Ryūkyū analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
26%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
V-Varen Nagasaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
JEF
2 - 0
VVA
33%
26%
40%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
ZWE
0 - 2
VVA
21%
25%
54%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
BLA
1 - 1
VVA
24%
27%
49%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
KAA
3 - 1
VVA
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
VVA
3 - 2
GIR
69%
20%
11%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Ryūkyū
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
RYK
2 - 1
BLA
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
MON
2 - 2
RYK
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
RYK
0 - 1
MIT
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
GIR
1 - 2
RYK
22%
24%
54%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
OMI
2 - 2
RYK
24%
25%
51%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |