V-Varen Nagasaki vs Ryūkyū analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
17.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
V-Varen Nagasaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
VVA
2 - 2
TOC
73%
18%
9%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
FUJ
1 - 2
VVA
32%
26%
42%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
VVA
2 - 2
SAG
41%
26%
34%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 0
VVA
47%
27%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
VVA
4 - 0
HOY
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Ryūkyū
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
RYK
1 - 2
HON
37%
26%
37%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
ZWE
2 - 3
RYK
45%
25%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
YOK
2 - 2
RYK
37%
26%
37%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
SON
1 - 1
RYK
49%
25%
26%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
RYK
3 - 4
YSC
42%
25%
33%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |