V-Varen Nagasaki vs Renofa Yamaguchi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
19.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
V-Varen Nagasaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
VVA
1 - 2
TOK
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
OIT
3 - 1
VVA
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
VVA
0 - 2
YOK
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
VVA
1 - 1
TOC
63%
23%
14%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FAG
3 - 0
VVA
33%
28%
40%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Renofa Yamaguchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
OMI
2 - 1
REN
45%
26%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
REN
2 - 2
GRU
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
THE
1 - 6
REN
38%
28%
35%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
RYK
0 - 1
REN
47%
25%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
REN
1 - 1
ZWE
48%
25%
28%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |