V-Varen Nagasaki vs Renofa Yamaguchi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
11.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
V-Varen Nagasaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
FAG
0 - 1
VVA
24%
27%
49%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
VVA
2 - 2
JEF
61%
23%
17%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
GIR
0 - 1
VVA
30%
27%
43%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
VVA
1 - 2
BLA
54%
25%
22%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
MIT
1 - 0
VVA
35%
26%
39%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Renofa Yamaguchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2021 |
REN
1 - 1
VER
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
BLA
1 - 1
REN
54%
26%
20%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
REN
1 - 0
SAG
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
ZWE
0 - 1
REN
58%
22%
19%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
REN
0 - 1
JEF
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |