V-Varen Nagasaki vs Parceiro Nagano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
31.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
V-Varen Nagasaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
JEF
1 - 0
VVA
57%
23%
21%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
VVA
4 - 2
KAM
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
OHS
0 - 2
VVA
9%
17%
74%
|
59 | 9 | 50 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
HOY
0 - 2
VVA
29%
25%
46%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
HON
1 - 0
VVA
36%
27%
38%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Parceiro Nagano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
CON
1 - 1
PAR
34%
24%
42%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
SPU
0 - 3
PAR
10%
17%
74%
|
62 | 9 | 53 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
SON
1 - 2
PAR
28%
29%
43%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
PAR
5 - 0
HON
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
ZWE
2 - 2
PAR
26%
26%
48%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |