V-Varen Nagasaki vs Okinawa SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.4%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
10%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.5%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.7%
3.8%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
V-Varen Nagasaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
SAG
0 - 1
VVA
21%
25%
54%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
VVA
3 - 0
REN
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
FAG
0 - 1
VVA
24%
27%
49%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
VVA
2 - 2
JEF
61%
23%
17%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
GIR
0 - 1
VVA
30%
27%
43%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Okinawa SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
FUF
1 - 3
OSV
75%
15%
10%
|
13 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2020 |
IOF
1 - 0
OSV
63%
19%
18%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2019 |
SAN
4 - 0
OSV
89%
10%
1%
|
14 | 77 | 63 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
MAT
0 - 2
OSV
17%
18%
65%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |