V-Varen Nagasaki vs Mito Hollyhock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.3%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
27%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
V-Varen Nagasaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2017 |
VVA
3 - 0
FAG
37%
29%
34%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
REN
0 - 3
VVA
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
EHI
1 - 0
VVA
51%
27%
22%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
VVA
0 - 1
AVI
72%
19%
9%
|
62 | 36 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
MAT
3 - 0
VVA
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Mito Hollyhock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2017 |
MON
0 - 0
MIT
34%
29%
38%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
MIT
3 - 2
MAC
28%
27%
45%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
MIT
1 - 1
AVI
74%
18%
8%
|
61 | 38 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
THE
0 - 1
MIT
37%
28%
35%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
GIF
2 - 1
MIT
38%
27%
34%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |