V-Varen Nagasaki vs Mito Hollyhock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
15%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
V-Varen Nagasaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
KAT
1 - 1
VVA
20%
25%
55%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
VVA
1 - 0
THE
69%
20%
11%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
VVA
2 - 1
MON
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2013 |
GIR
1 - 2
VVA
35%
27%
38%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
VVA
0 - 0
AVI
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Mito Hollyhock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
MIT
2 - 2
GAI
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
MIT
1 - 0
FAG
41%
29%
30%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
THE
0 - 1
MIT
42%
28%
30%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2013 |
MAT
2 - 0
MIT
51%
26%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
MIT
1 - 3
MON
40%
26%
33%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |