V-Varen Nagasaki vs Machida Zelvia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
V-Varen Nagasaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
VVA
4 - 1
MIT
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
OMI
0 - 0
VVA
34%
27%
39%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
EHI
1 - 4
VVA
17%
24%
60%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
GIR
1 - 1
VVA
40%
26%
34%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
JUB
1 - 0
VVA
53%
23%
24%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Machida Zelvia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
MAC
1 - 2
EHI
58%
24%
19%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
VEN
2 - 1
MAC
51%
26%
23%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
MAC
0 - 0
AVI
31%
29%
41%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
JEF
0 - 0
MAC
46%
24%
30%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
MAC
3 - 0
KYO
30%
28%
42%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |