V-Varen Nagasaki vs Machida Zelvia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.2%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
43.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
V-Varen Nagasaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
MAT
1 - 0
VVA
33%
28%
39%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
MIT
0 - 2
VVA
41%
28%
31%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
VVA
2 - 1
TOK
48%
28%
25%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
VVA
2 - 1
GIF
48%
27%
25%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
TOK
0 - 0
VVA
39%
28%
33%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Machida Zelvia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
MAC
3 - 3
MIT
62%
24%
14%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
CER
1 - 3
MAC
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
MAC
2 - 3
JEF
54%
26%
20%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
MAC
2 - 1
MON
72%
19%
8%
|
68 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
THE
2 - 2
MAC
23%
27%
49%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |