V-Varen Nagasaki vs Kagoshima United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
22.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
V-Varen Nagasaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2022 |
VVA
0 - 0
FAG
53%
26%
21%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2022 |
VVA
0 - 2
JEF
56%
25%
20%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
REN
1 - 2
VVA
23%
25%
52%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
VVA
0 - 0
OMI
67%
21%
12%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
VVA
0 - 2
VEG
46%
26%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Kagoshima United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2022 |
KAM
0 - 4
KAG
19%
25%
56%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
KAG
3 - 1
GIR
62%
21%
17%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
FCI
0 - 1
KAG
34%
27%
39%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2022 |
KAG
4 - 1
KAT
42%
26%
32%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
PAR
2 - 1
KAG
35%
28%
37%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |