V-Varen Nagasaki vs Júbilo Iwata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
37.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
V-Varen Nagasaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
VVA
6 - 1
TOK
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ROA
3 - 4
VVA
33%
26%
41%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
VVA
2 - 0
MON
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
TOC
1 - 1
VVA
23%
25%
51%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
VVA
1 - 1
VEN
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Júbilo Iwata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
JUB
0 - 1
NAG
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
KYO
0 - 3
JUB
45%
26%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
JUB
2 - 0
ALB
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
KAA
1 - 0
JUB
58%
24%
19%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
GAM
2 - 1
JUB
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |