V-Varen Nagasaki vs Honda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
22.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
V-Varen Nagasaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
ZWE
0 - 1
VVA
33%
26%
42%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
VVA
1 - 1
HON
72%
19%
10%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
RYK
1 - 0
VVA
32%
25%
43%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2012 |
TOC
1 - 4
VVA
29%
25%
47%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
KAM
0 - 1
VVA
37%
25%
38%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Honda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
HON
0 - 2
HOY
69%
19%
12%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
HON
0 - 1
ZWE
61%
21%
17%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
HON
0 - 3
HON
24%
25%
50%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2012 |
HON
4 - 1
RYK
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
TOC
3 - 3
HON
32%
26%
42%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |