V-Varen Nagasaki vs Giravanz Kitakyushu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
17.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
V-Varen Nagasaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
VVA
1 - 0
TOC
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
VEG
2 - 3
VVA
71%
18%
11%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
GAM
2 - 1
VVA
75%
16%
8%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2020 |
FCT
0 - 1
VVA
67%
21%
12%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
KAA
3 - 2
VVA
75%
17%
8%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Giravanz Kitakyushu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
GIR
0 - 1
AVI
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
FUJ
1 - 0
GIR
41%
28%
31%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
GIR
1 - 1
GAI
55%
23%
22%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
GIR
4 - 0
KAM
68%
19%
13%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
THE
0 - 1
GIR
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |