V-Varen Nagasaki vs Gainare Tottori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
V-Varen Nagasaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
MAT
1 - 1
VVA
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
VVA
1 - 0
KAT
64%
22%
14%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
MON
2 - 0
VVA
35%
27%
38%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
VVA
1 - 3
GAM
14%
20%
66%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
FAG
1 - 1
VVA
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Gainare Tottori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
GAI
1 - 1
TOC
42%
26%
32%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
JEF
1 - 1
GAI
72%
18%
9%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
GAI
3 - 1
MIT
41%
27%
32%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
THE
0 - 0
GAI
51%
25%
24%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
ROA
1 - 2
GAI
59%
23%
18%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |