V-Varen Nagasaki vs Avispa Fukuoka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
19.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
V-Varen Nagasaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
MAC
1 - 1
VVA
26%
27%
47%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
MAT
2 - 2
VVA
32%
27%
41%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
VVA
0 - 0
JUB
36%
28%
37%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2020 |
VEN
2 - 0
VVA
38%
27%
34%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
ZWE
1 - 1
VVA
33%
27%
40%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Avispa Fukuoka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
AVI
1 - 0
THE
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
ZWE
1 - 2
AVI
50%
27%
23%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2020 |
OMI
0 - 1
AVI
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
AVI
2 - 1
MAC
37%
27%
36%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2020 |
MON
0 - 1
AVI
56%
25%
19%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |