Uzwil vs Hongg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
27%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
9º
15º
13º
10
4º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
19 | 68 |
1º
|
49% | |
|
1º
|
19 | 60 |
2º
|
14.5% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 59 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 59 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 53 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 44 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 40 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 37 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 36 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
|
8º
|
10 | 33 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 33 |
11º
|
8% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 31 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
|
15º
|
5 | 30 |
13º
|
10% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 29 |
14º
|
10% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 29 |
15º
|
13% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 23 |
16º
|
38% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
72.5% | 91% |
|
Relegation
|
27.5% | 9% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uzwil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
YFJ
5 - 1
UZW
69%
17%
14%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
UZW
1 - 2
TUG
18%
22%
61%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ESC
3 - 2
UZW
42%
26%
33%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
UZW
2 - 0
FCW
25%
26%
49%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +3 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
UZW
5 - 0
HON
50%
23%
28%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Hongg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
MEN
5 - 4
HON
48%
26%
27%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
HON
2 - 1
YFJ
16%
22%
62%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | +3 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
TUG
2 - 0
HON
82%
12%
6%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
HON
2 - 1
ESC
24%
22%
54%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
UZW
5 - 0
HON
50%
23%
28%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |