Tercera Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 1-2
Utrera vs Mallorca B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
41.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
ANT
2 - 1
UTR
49%
25%
26%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
UTR
1 - 0
ANT
39%
26%
35%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
CAB
0 - 2
UTR
20%
24%
56%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
UTR
0 - 2
ARC
70%
18%
12%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -2 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
SRQ
1 - 1
UTR
29%
25%
47%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Mallorca B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
MLL
4 - 0
BET
72%
18%
11%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
BET
0 - 0
MLL
19%
22%
59%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
MLL
1 - 0
ESP
87%
9%
4%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
CDS
1 - 0
MLL
7%
16%
77%
|
42 | 16 | 26 | -3 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
MLL
1 - 0
BNS
89%
9%
3%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | 0 |