Utrera vs Coria CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
21.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
2º
10º
3º
22
7º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 72 |
1º
|
82.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 64 |
2º
|
55% | |
|
|
3º
|
37 | 58 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 53 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 53 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 53 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 52 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 45 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 44 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 44 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 43 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 41 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
|
15º
|
22 | 40 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 39 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 38 |
15º
|
16.5% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 36 |
16º
|
15.5% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 30 |
17º
|
30.5% | |
|
18º
|
13 | 28 |
18º
|
51.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
77.5% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
19.5% | 80% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 18.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
UTR
0 - 1
CRD
66%
19%
15%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
ESP
0 - 1
UTR
41%
24%
35%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
UTR
2 - 0
CAR
49%
23%
28%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
POZ
2 - 1
UTR
55%
23%
22%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
UTR
1 - 1
CIS
60%
21%
19%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Coria CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
SRQ
1 - 0
COR
58%
22%
20%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
COR
0 - 1
BOL
47%
25%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
REC
2 - 5
COR
37%
25%
38%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +2 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
COR
0 - 0
UDT
48%
25%
28%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
LAP
2 - 0
COR
33%
24%
43%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -3 |