Copa RFAF Quarter-finals
Global 1-2
Utrera vs Ciudad de Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
32.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2021 |
UTR
0 - 3
CIS
60%
23%
17%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
CEU
3 - 3
UTR
40%
27%
34%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
UTR
1 - 1
ANT
60%
23%
17%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 4
UTR
26%
26%
48%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
UTR
2 - 0
CDR
58%
23%
19%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ciudad de Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
CDL
4 - 0
MON
79%
15%
7%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
ANT
1 - 0
CDL
39%
27%
34%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 2
CDL
72%
18%
10%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
CDL
1 - 2
CEU
57%
23%
20%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
CDL
4 - 1
CEU
51%
25%
24%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |