Uthongathi vs Pretoria University analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.4%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
47.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.3%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
8º
7º
39
1º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
77.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
39% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
3º
|
45.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
61% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 48 |
5º
|
61% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
62% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
51.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
67% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
63.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
54.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
79% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
75% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
75% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uthongathi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 2
UTH
56%
27%
17%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
UTH
1 - 0
TSS
37%
29%
35%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
TTM
1 - 0
UTH
44%
27%
29%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
RIB
2 - 2
UTH
59%
25%
16%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
UTH
0 - 0
AJA
39%
29%
33%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Pretoria University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
PRE
0 - 0
POL
50%
27%
23%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2022 |
SWA
1 - 0
PRE
50%
24%
26%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
PRE
1 - 1
ALL
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
PRE
0 - 0
SWA
35%
26%
39%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
ALL
1 - 3
PRE
35%
26%
39%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |