Utebo vs Villanueva CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
19.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+338%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utebo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
CDE
2 - 1
UFC
48%
25%
27%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2013 |
UFC
1 - 1
ATL
43%
26%
32%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
UFC
3 - 2
ATL
76%
17%
8%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
TER
1 - 1
UFC
76%
16%
8%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
UFC
0 - 1
EJE
39%
26%
35%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Villanueva CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 2
TER
16%
24%
60%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2013 |
EJE
4 - 0
VIL
67%
19%
14%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
VIL
3 - 1
CFB
54%
23%
23%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
CUA
2 - 1
VIL
41%
24%
35%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 0
TAM
37%
25%
38%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |