Utebo vs Lemona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.7%
32%
Draw
0-0
15.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
32%
40.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utebo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1994 |
LOG
1 - 0
UFC
71%
19%
10%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1994 |
UFC
1 - 3
BAS
35%
28%
37%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -2 |
| 27 Mar. 1994 |
ALA
6 - 0
UFC
83%
13%
4%
|
31 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1994 |
UFC
0 - 1
NUM
24%
31%
46%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1994 |
CLU
0 - 0
UFC
67%
22%
11%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Lemona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1994 |
LEM
0 - 0
CFP
56%
25%
19%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1994 |
AND
2 - 2
LEM
55%
26%
19%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1994 |
LEM
8 - 2
CDT
77%
17%
6%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1994 |
TUD
1 - 2
LEM
52%
28%
19%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1994 |
LEM
0 - 1
SSC
30%
33%
37%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -1 |