Utebo vs Illueca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
52%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utebo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
ZAR
1 - 1
UFC
77%
15%
8%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
CUA
2 - 1
UFC
65%
20%
16%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
UFC
0 - 1
TAR
19%
22%
59%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
SDB
3 - 1
UFC
60%
23%
17%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
UFC
0 - 1
TER
10%
20%
70%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Illueca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
ICF
0 - 0
BAR
68%
18%
14%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
FRA
0 - 0
ICF
35%
24%
41%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
ICF
4 - 1
VIL
73%
17%
10%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
TAM
2 - 3
ICF
18%
22%
61%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2019 |
ICF
2 - 1
CAL
71%
17%
12%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |