Utebo vs Illueca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
22.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utebo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
TAR
2 - 3
UFC
68%
18%
14%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
UFC
3 - 0
AND
63%
20%
17%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
ROB
0 - 1
UFC
30%
25%
45%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
UFC
2 - 1
SAR
52%
24%
24%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
BIN
0 - 0
UFC
41%
25%
34%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Illueca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
ICF
1 - 2
ZAR
20%
23%
57%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
EJE
3 - 2
ICF
50%
23%
26%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
ICF
2 - 0
TER
25%
25%
51%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
TAM
2 - 1
ICF
26%
24%
50%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
TAR
1 - 1
ICF
73%
17%
11%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |