Utebo vs Calamocha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
16.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utebo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
TAR
2 - 0
UFC
77%
15%
9%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
UFC
1 - 0
SAR
66%
19%
15%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
ZAR
0 - 0
UFC
72%
17%
11%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
UFC
2 - 0
UDC
79%
14%
8%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
BEL
1 - 1
UFC
29%
26%
46%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Calamocha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
CAL
3 - 2
SAB
40%
25%
36%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
TAM
1 - 1
CAL
60%
20%
20%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
CAL
1 - 0
SJU
25%
23%
52%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
ICF
2 - 0
CAL
53%
23%
25%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CAL
1 - 0
LAA
41%
24%
35%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |