UTC Cajamarca vs Univ. San Martín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
28.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
CIE
2 - 2
UTC
57%
24%
18%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
UTC
1 - 2
UNI
38%
29%
33%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
GAL
2 - 1
UTC
42%
27%
30%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
UTC
2 - 1
AUR
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
CIE
3 - 1
UTC
51%
27%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
SAM
3 - 1
AYA
40%
28%
33%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
AUR
1 - 0
SAM
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
SAM
1 - 0
LEO
37%
29%
35%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
GAR
1 - 0
SAM
68%
21%
12%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
SAM
1 - 1
MEL
44%
28%
28%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |