UTC Cajamarca vs Univ. César Vallejo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
45.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 1
UTC
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
UTC
2 - 0
HUA
44%
26%
31%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
LOS
1 - 1
UTC
59%
22%
19%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
SAM
2 - 0
UTC
48%
26%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
UTC
1 - 0
CIE
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. César Vallejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
VAL
5 - 0
HUA
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
CIE
0 - 1
VAL
39%
25%
36%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
VAL
0 - 1
MEL
52%
25%
22%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
LOS
2 - 3
VAL
47%
24%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
SAM
2 - 1
VAL
36%
26%
38%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |