UTC Cajamarca vs Univ. César Vallejo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
36%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
UTC
3 - 1
AYA
35%
28%
37%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
LEO
2 - 0
UTC
61%
24%
16%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
UTC
1 - 2
ALI
35%
29%
36%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
ALF
3 - 2
UTC
21%
24%
55%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -2 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
UTC
2 - 0
ALF
64%
20%
16%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. César Vallejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
GAL
1 - 1
VAL
40%
27%
32%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2013 |
VAL
3 - 1
COM
51%
27%
23%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 0
VAL
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2013 |
VAL
1 - 1
TOL
30%
26%
44%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2013 |
TOL
1 - 0
VAL
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |