UTC Cajamarca vs Unión Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
26.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2014 |
LOS
0 - 0
UTC
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2014 |
UTC
1 - 1
SPC
30%
28%
42%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
UTC
0 - 2
VAL
30%
25%
45%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 1
UTC
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
UTC
2 - 0
HUA
44%
26%
31%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
COM
47%
27%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
COM
4 - 0
LOS
37%
28%
35%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
LEO
4 - 3
COM
50%
24%
26%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -2 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
COM
1 - 1
ALI
32%
25%
43%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
AYA
1 - 1
COM
51%
24%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |