UTC Cajamarca vs San Simón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
27.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
AUR
2 - 0
UTC
70%
19%
12%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2014 |
UTC
1 - 1
SAM
32%
27%
41%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
GAR
3 - 0
UTC
61%
23%
16%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
UTC
0 - 1
AYA
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
UNI
3 - 0
UTC
47%
28%
26%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
San Simón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
AYA
37%
28%
35%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2014 |
LOS
0 - 2
SAN
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 3
SPC
29%
29%
42%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
CIE
2 - 0
SAN
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
HUA
40%
27%
34%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |