Conmebol Sudamericana Playoffs 1/32
Global 2-4
UTC Cajamarca vs Rampla Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
33.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
UNI
0 - 1
UTC
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2018 |
COL
1 - 1
UTC
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
UTC
0 - 3
SPC
37%
26%
38%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
UTC
2 - 0
ALI
66%
21%
13%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2017 |
UNI
3 - 1
UTC
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Rampla Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
JUN
0 - 3
NAC
16%
24%
60%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
FEN
3 - 1
JUN
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
JUN
0 - 1
CER
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
FEN
1 - 1
JUN
48%
26%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2017 |
JUN
0 - 2
NAC
24%
27%
49%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |