UTC Cajamarca vs Juan Aurich Chiclayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
37.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
VAL
1 - 1
UTC
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2015 |
UTC
2 - 3
MUN
38%
28%
34%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
ALI
4 - 1
UTC
62%
23%
15%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2015 |
UTC
0 - 0
MEL
34%
30%
37%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
CIE
2 - 0
UTC
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
AUR
0 - 1
ALI
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
COM
3 - 1
AUR
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2015 |
AUR
1 - 2
SPC
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 1
AUR
34%
29%
37%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
AUR
0 - 0
SPO
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |