UTC Cajamarca vs Ayacucho FC analysis

UTC Cajamarca Ayacucho FC
68 ELO 63
1.1% Tilt -2.9%
1609º General ELO ranking 3057º
16º Country ELO ranking 25º
ELO win probability
52%
UTC Cajamarca
25.1%
Draw
22.9%
Ayacucho FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
UTC Cajamarca
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
22.9%
Win probability
Ayacucho FC
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
UTC Cajamarca
-17%
-8%
Ayacucho FC

ELO progression

UTC Cajamarca
Ayacucho FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

UTC Cajamarca
UTC Cajamarca
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Jul. 2017
MEL
FBC Melgar
2 - 0
UTC Cajamarca
UTC
48%
26%
26%
68 68 0 0
02 Jul. 2017
UTC
UTC Cajamarca
1 - 0
Alianza Lima
ALI
42%
28%
31%
67 72 5 +1
25 Jun. 2017
GAR
Cusco FC
2 - 1
UTC Cajamarca
UTC
49%
26%
25%
68 68 0 -1
19 Jun. 2017
UTC
UTC Cajamarca
3 - 1
Univ. San Martín
SAM
48%
26%
27%
67 65 2 +1
15 Jun. 2017
COM
Comerciantes Unidos
1 - 0
UTC Cajamarca
UTC
50%
24%
25%
68 65 3 -1

Matches

Ayacucho FC
Ayacucho FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Jul. 2017
AYA
Ayacucho FC
0 - 1
Sport Rosario
SRP
42%
28%
30%
64 71 7 0
02 Jul. 2017
SPC
Sporting Cristal
2 - 0
Ayacucho FC
AYA
53%
24%
23%
65 67 2 -1
24 Jun. 2017
AYA
Ayacucho FC
3 - 1
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
AUR
55%
23%
23%
64 61 3 +1
18 Jun. 2017
AYA
Ayacucho FC
1 - 2
FBC Melgar
MEL
50%
25%
24%
65 67 2 -1
15 Jun. 2017
ALI
Alianza Lima
4 - 0
Ayacucho FC
AYA
50%
26%
24%
66 70 4 -1
X