UTC Cajamarca vs Ayacucho FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
29.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2013 |
LEO
1 - 2
UTC
56%
26%
19%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
UTC
1 - 1
AUR
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2013 |
UTC
3 - 3
SAM
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
CIE
2 - 2
UTC
57%
24%
18%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
UTC
1 - 2
UNI
38%
29%
33%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2013 |
AYA
2 - 2
CIE
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
UNI
3 - 1
AYA
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
AYA
1 - 0
GAL
58%
23%
18%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
SAM
3 - 1
AYA
40%
28%
33%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
LEO
0 - 2
AYA
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |