UTC Cajamarca vs Ayacucho FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
36.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
LEO
2 - 0
UTC
61%
24%
16%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
UTC
1 - 2
ALI
35%
29%
36%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
ALF
3 - 2
UTC
21%
24%
55%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | -2 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
UTC
2 - 0
ALF
64%
20%
16%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
ACR
0 - 0
UTC
41%
24%
34%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
GAL
2 - 2
AYA
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
AYA
2 - 0
LEO
44%
28%
29%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
AYA
2 - 0
COB
61%
23%
17%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2012 |
HUA
2 - 1
AYA
55%
25%
21%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
AYA
1 - 0
SAM
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |