UTC Cajamarca vs Deportivo Municipal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
30.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2016 |
HUA
2 - 2
UTC
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2016 |
UTC
1 - 3
MEL
28%
29%
43%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
UTC
2 - 0
HUA
33%
28%
39%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
LEO
2 - 0
UTC
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
UTC
1 - 1
SAM
42%
27%
32%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
MUN
1 - 2
ALI
36%
28%
35%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
SAM
0 - 1
MUN
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
MUN
2 - 1
ALI
35%
29%
36%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
MEL
0 - 0
MUN
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2015 |
MUN
1 - 0
CIE
41%
28%
31%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |