UTC Cajamarca vs Cienciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
29.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
MEL
3 - 0
UTC
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
VAL
3 - 0
UTC
51%
25%
23%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
UTC
0 - 0
UNI
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
HUA
1 - 1
UTC
42%
26%
33%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
UTC
2 - 1
LOS
41%
25%
35%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
CIE
3 - 0
SAM
47%
24%
28%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
LOS
2 - 1
CIE
55%
23%
22%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
CIE
0 - 0
MEL
51%
24%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
VAL
1 - 0
CIE
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
CIE
1 - 0
UNI
47%
25%
28%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |