UTC Cajamarca vs Cienciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
27.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 1
UTC
39%
28%
32%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
UTC
3 - 1
AUR
32%
28%
39%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
SAM
4 - 0
UTC
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
UTC
1 - 0
GAR
38%
29%
33%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2014 |
AYA
1 - 1
UTC
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
HUA
3 - 1
CIE
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2014 |
CIE
2 - 1
ALI
38%
28%
34%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
LEO
2 - 2
CIE
53%
26%
22%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
CIE
2 - 0
VAL
33%
27%
40%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 2
CIE
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |