UTC Cajamarca vs Los Caimanes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
34.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
UTC
3 - 2
SAM
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
CIE
2 - 2
UTC
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
UTC
1 - 0
MEL
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
AYA
2 - 4
UTC
52%
26%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
UTC
1 - 0
LEO
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Los Caimanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
VAL
1 - 1
LOS
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
LOS
1 - 0
UNI
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
HUA
0 - 0
LOS
39%
24%
37%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
LOS
2 - 2
SPO
65%
22%
13%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
DEF
1 - 3
LOS
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |