UTC Cajamarca vs Atlético Grau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
UTC
4 - 2
CAN
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
CIE
1 - 1
UTC
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
UTC
3 - 0
BIN
51%
25%
23%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2020 |
AGP
0 - 0
UTC
48%
27%
26%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2020 |
UTC
2 - 2
MAN
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Grau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
AGP
1 - 4
SPC
22%
24%
54%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2020 |
CAN
0 - 0
AGP
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
UNI
2 - 1
AGP
65%
22%
13%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2020 |
AGP
0 - 0
UTC
48%
27%
26%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
MEL
3 - 0
AGP
52%
26%
23%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -2 |