UTC Cajamarca vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
17.9%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
44%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
MEL
1 - 0
UTC
71%
19%
11%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
UTC
0 - 0
CIE
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
AYA
1 - 2
UTC
54%
24%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
UTC
2 - 0
ALI
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
COM
2 - 0
UTC
63%
22%
16%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2015 |
ALI
4 - 2
ALI
62%
24%
15%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
COM
2 - 2
ALI
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ALI
1 - 0
SPO
60%
25%
15%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
GAR
1 - 1
ALI
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2015 |
ALI
3 - 0
HUA
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |