Utah Valley vs San José State analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
49.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utah Valley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
UIW
1 - 2
UVL
22%
20%
58%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
DXS
1 - 2
UVL
21%
20%
59%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
CBL
4 - 1
UVL
55%
20%
25%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
UVL
2 - 1
HBH
89%
8%
3%
|
22 | 8 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
SJS
3 - 2
UVL
69%
17%
14%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
San José State
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
SJS
2 - 0
NLV
79%
13%
8%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
SJS
3 - 0
DXS
85%
10%
5%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
AFF
2 - 0
SJS
42%
22%
36%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
SJS
2 - 2
AFF
60%
19%
21%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
NLV
0 - 1
SJS
24%
21%
56%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | -1 |