Utah Valley vs Air Force analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
58.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utah Valley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
HBH
2 - 0
UVL
5%
12%
83%
|
23 | 7 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
CST
0 - 5
UVL
8%
14%
77%
|
23 | 10 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
UVL
4 - 1
NLV
61%
20%
19%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
UVL
1 - 2
SUR
27%
22%
51%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
UVL
0 - 1
SJS
29%
22%
49%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Air Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
AFF
3 - 1
NLV
81%
12%
7%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
AFF
2 - 0
DXS
85%
10%
5%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
SUR
2 - 1
AFF
43%
22%
34%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
AFF
5 - 2
UIW
84%
11%
5%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
AFF
2 - 1
RGV
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |