Europa League Last 16
Global 3-1
UTA Arad vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
29.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UTA Arad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1971 |
UTA
1 - 0
FAR
69%
19%
13%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1971 |
UTA
2 - 1
ZAG
63%
20%
16%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1971 |
DBU
1 - 1
UTA
59%
21%
20%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1971 |
BRA
0 - 1
UTA
43%
27%
31%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1971 |
ZAG
1 - 1
UTA
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1971 |
LEX
1 - 3
VST
21%
28%
51%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1971 |
VST
4 - 0
SPA
71%
17%
12%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1971 |
VST
3 - 0
ATL
80%
14%
7%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1971 |
FCB
1 - 1
VST
28%
28%
44%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1971 |
SPA
0 - 0
VST
45%
25%
30%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |