UTA Arad vs Petrolul Ploiesti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
21.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
7º
14º
12º
15
5º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
22 | 54 |
1º
|
40% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 48 |
2º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 45 |
3º
|
7.5% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 45 |
4º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 44 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 44 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
2º
|
17 | 44 |
7º
|
9% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 42 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 42 |
9º
|
6% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 42 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
15 | 39 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
|
14º
|
9 | 38 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 35 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 33 |
14º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 28 |
15º
|
26.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 27 |
16º
|
48.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
15.5% | 22.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
84.5% | 77.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UTA Arad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
UTA
0 - 0
CSM
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
UTA
1 - 1
HER
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
STB
2 - 0
UTA
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
UTA
1 - 1
SFC
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 0
UTA
35%
28%
37%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Petrolul Ploiesti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
STB
1 - 1
PET
57%
24%
20%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
PET
1 - 1
SFC
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BOT
0 - 2
PET
46%
27%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
ASC
1 - 1
PET
16%
23%
61%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
PET
0 - 0
GAL
41%
28%
32%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |