Champions League 1/16
Global 1-10
UTA Arad vs Legia Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
28.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UTA Arad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1969 |
UTA
1 - 1
RAP
50%
26%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1969 |
JIU
1 - 0
UTA
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1969 |
UTA
2 - 0
BIH
62%
23%
15%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1969 |
STB
2 - 4
UTA
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 1969 |
UTA
1 - 0
FCM
60%
24%
16%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1969 |
ODR
0 - 4
WAR
36%
28%
36%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1969 |
WAR
3 - 0
WIS
56%
20%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1969 |
GÓR
1 - 2
WAR
53%
21%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1969 |
GKS
0 - 0
WAR
39%
22%
39%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1969 |
WAR
2 - 1
ZAG
70%
18%
13%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |